Deaths at home during and after the Covid-19 pandemic in Scotland

This research builds on our earlier work researching the change during the Covid pandemic, but also explores the increase in deaths at home post the Covid pandemic and its implications for end of life care and health service usage.

Research Focus

During the Covid-19 pandemic we saw a large increase in numbers of people dying at home. Deaths at home increased by 36% relative to pre-pandemic levels. Only about 2% of those deaths were Covid related, with most deaths happening due to other causes. 

Little was known about the characteristics of the population dying at home during that time. We didn't know what precipitated the shift to home deaths or how home deaths today compare to those before and during the pandemic. Importantly, the sustained increase of home deaths throughout and post-Covid19 raises questions about the availability of services, ability to access both formal and unpaid care, and the quality of care received by individuals dying at home.

Having investigated the health needs and services used by people who died at home during the pandemic and how they differed from people dying in hospital or care homes, we will also investigate these issues post the pandemic - and compare the data from people dying at home before the pandemic. This work is important given that insights into the causes and consequences of the shift to home deaths can facilitate end-of-life care policy in the post-pandemic world.

This work is a continuation of our Care in the Last Days of Life project.

Data sources

  • SOURCE Social care (care at home) recipients at the end of life
  • NRS Deaths records (used to define cohort and some demographics); CHI registry data (use to identify medical records for cohort and some demographics)
  • UPRN (Universal property reference number; for identifying the number of household members living with individuals in cohort and for address changes in the last year of life)
  • SMR01 Acute hospital admissions; SMR04 Psychiatric admissions; SMR06 Cancer registrations; Unscheduled care datasets; NHS24 calls; SAS ambulance service use;
  • Out-of-hours GP episodes; A&E admissions; Prescribing data (DVCP dispensed & prescribed); Hospital proximity calculations (this will be computed at Data Zone level by ourselves);
  • Monthly hospital bed occupancy data (from aggregated ISD(S)1 hospital activity data)

Qualitative study

Alongside the quantitative study of the linked data above, we are also undertaking engagement in the form of interviews and focus groups with key people from charitable organisations involved in providing end-of-life care, as well as unpaid carers, about their experiences of providing care during the pandemic. Please read Blog 7 for a brief summary.

From December 2022

We incorporated a new project, Exploring the increase in deaths at home in Scotland, into this theme.

From March 2025

We have continued our research, using data from SOURCE, Social care (care at home) recipients at the end of life, to assess deaths at home after the pandemic.

Research team

Jan SavincIain Atherton, Yina García-López, Catherine Mahoney, Michelle Jamieson

 

Publications, Outputs and Media Coverage